Equilibrium Analysis, Banking, Contagion and Financial Fragility

Tsomocos, Dimitrios (2003) Equilibrium Analysis, Banking, Contagion and Financial Fragility. Bank of England Working Paper.

Abstract

This paper contains a general equilibrium model of an economy with incomplete markets (GEI) with money and default. The model is a simplified version of the real world consisting of a non-bank private sector, banks, a central bank, a government and a regulator. The model is used to analyse actions by policy-makers and to identify policy relevant empirical work. Key analytical results are: a financially fragile system need not collapse; efficiency can be improved with policy intervention; and a system with heterogeneous banks is more stable than one with homogeneous ones. Existence of monetary equilibria allows for positive default levels in equilibrium. It also characterises contagion and financial fragility as an equilibrium phenomenon. A definition of financial fragility is proposed. Financial fragility occurs when aggregate profitability of the banking sector declines and defaults in the non-bank and banking private sectors increase. Thus, equilibria with financial fragility require financial vulnerability in the banking sector and liquidity shortages in the non-bank private sector. The model will be used as a basis to carry out empirical work on the costs of financial instability, to quantify the effectiveness of particular regulatory tools such as capital requirements, and to identify trade-offs between increasing stability through action by authorities and the efficiency of the financial system.

Item Type: Other Working Paper
Keywords: Financial fragility, contagion, competitive banking, capital requirements, incomplete markets, default, finance
Subject(s): Finance
Date Deposited: 22 Mar 2013 14:36
Last Modified: 20 Sep 2018 10:39
URI: http://eureka.sbs.ox.ac.uk/id/eprint/4537

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